2019, 38(4) 1166-1176 DOI:   10.3969/j.issn.1004-5589.2019.04.028  ISSN: 1004-5589 CN: 22-1111/P

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Keywords
slope geological hazards susceptibility evaluation
neural network
frequency ratio
support vector machine
Yongji County
Authors
LIU Fei
QIN Sheng-wu
QIAO Shuang-shuang
DOU Qiang
HU Xiu-yu
PubMed
Article by Liu F
Article by Qin S
Article by Qiao S
Article by Dou Q
Article by Hu X

Slope geological hazards susceptibility evaluation based on neural network model: a case study from Yongji County of Jilin Province

LIU Fei, QIN Sheng-wu, QIAO Shuang-shuang, DOU Qiang, HU Xiu-yu

College of Construction Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun 130026, China

Abstract

There are large number of slope geological hazards in Yongji County of Jilin Province. In order to provide an efficient and intuitive analysis model for the prevention and warning of slope geological hazards, Yongji County of Jilin Province is used as a research area. Eleven evaluation factors including elevation, slope, slope di-rection, profile curvature, plane curvature, distance from faults, lithology, distance from rivers, average annual rainfall, terrain humidity index, and vegetation cover index are selected. Neural network model is used to analyze the susceptibility of regional slope geological hazards, followed by the comparison with frequency ratio and support vector machine models. Finally, the accuracy of the model is verified and analyzed using the ROC curve. The suc-cess rates of the neural network, frequency ratio, and support vector machine models are 91.3%, 89.3% and 90.2%, and the prediction rates are 87.3%, 84.3% and 85.6%, respectively. The results show that the neural network model has the highest accuracy and is more suitable for the assessment of slope geological hazards in Yongji County.

Keywords slope geological hazards susceptibility evaluation   neural network   frequency ratio   support vector machine   Yongji County  
Received 2019-08-26 Revised 2019-10-13 Online:  
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-5589.2019.04.028
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Email: qinsw@jlu.edu.cn
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