2009, 28(1) 82-85 DOI:     ISSN: 1004-5589 CN: 22-1111/P

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Keywords
recoverable oil
available ability
prediction analysis
productivity
Authors
ZHOU Jian-1
YANG Yi-Heng-2
PubMed
Article by Zhou, J. 1
Article by Yang, Y. H. 2

Prediction analysis of Chinese recoverable oil in 2010 and 2020

ZHOU Jian-1, YANG Yi-Heng-2

1. Institute of Mineral Resources Prediction of Synthetic Information, Jilin University, Changchun 130026, China; 2. College of Science, Beijing Information Science & Technology University, Beijing 100192, China

Abstract��

According to present situation of Chinese oil resource and its development and utilization level, utilizes the quantitative analysis models of Regression Analysis, HCZ, Hubbert and Wengps, and combines with the qualitative analysis. The result shows Chinese coverable oil will be 39.87-45.17 billion tons and 54.37-64.57 billion tons in 2010 and 2020, the production capacity of crude oilwill remain at 1.56-1.85 billion tons after discounting the effect of exploitation and consumption.

Keywords�� recoverable oil   available ability   prediction analysis   productivity  
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