[an error occurred while processing this directive] ������� 2011, 30(2) 254-258 DOI:     ISSN: 1004-5589 CN: 22-1111/P

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Article by Zhang, H. Y.
Article by Wang, X. M.
Article by Xu, Y. H.
Article by Wang, T.
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Trend analysis of per capita water resources based on state-space model in China
ZHANG Hai-Yan, WANG Xin-Min, XU Yun-Hui, WANG Tong
ZHANG Hai-yan��WANG Xin-min��XU Yun-hui��WANG Tong
Abstract:

As a water resources defiency country��the water security in China has been concerned extensively�� It is very necessary to understand the composition condition of per capital water resources and its development situation�� Using surface water and groundwater data in China from 2000 to 2007��the authors conducted regression model analysis and state-space model prediction to per capital water resources��and calculated the effect of surface water and groundwater to per capital water resources and its variation with time�� The per capita water resources decreased substantially��but the amplitude of decrease was reducing by simulating the effect dymatic of surface water and groundwater to per capita water resources��which indicated the recent water resources management was effectively in China��

Keywords: per capita water resources   surface water   groundwater   regression model   state-space model  
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