�����й�ʯ����Դ��״���俪�����ó̶�, ���ûع����Ԥ��ģ�͡�HCZģ�͡�Hubbertģ�ͺ�����ģ�ͽ��ж�������, ����϶��Է����ó�, ��2010���2020��ʱ, �й�ʯ�Ϳɲɴ����ֱ�Ϊ 39.87��45.17��t��54.37��64.57��t, �۳��������ĵĿɹ�����, ԭ�����������ɱ�����1.56 �� 1.85��t��

According to present situation of Chinese oil resource and its development and utilization level, utilizes the quantitative analysis models of Regression Analysis, HCZ, Hubbert and Wengps, and combines with the qualitative analysis. The result shows Chinese coverable oil will be 39.87-45.17 billion tons and 54.37-64.57 billion tons in 2010 and 2020, the production capacity of crude oilwill remain at 1.56-1.85 billion tons after discounting the effect of exploitation and consumption.